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Archive for 'Uncategorized'

信息的注意力边界的移动

Posted on October 25, 2007, by Glif, under Uncategorized.

我最近遇到这样的情况:先是对Feed阅读产生厌倦感,然后大幅减少了Feed阅读时间,再接下来就是疯狂退订。以前订阅了1000多个Feed,现在只剩下了264个。这一轮下来之后,阅读时间明显增加了,而且意外的开始对发现新的Blog并订阅进来感兴趣了。我应该有半年没怎么增加订阅了。

以上这种情况不知道有没有朋友碰到过。我分析了一下,把这种现象归结为“信息注意力边界的移动”。

我来解释一下我的所谓“信息注意力边界的移动”,对于每一个人来说,有一部分信息是已知信息,另一部分是未知信息。已知和未知的中间,就是对信息的注意力边界。兴趣或求知欲应该是进化的一个产物,是每个人天生的。假设边界内是已知信息,边界外是未知信息,人往往对信息边界外侧但靠近边界的地方最容易产生兴趣。这就产生了一个问题,当这个信息注意力边界移动以后,人们的兴趣点自然发生改变了。所以,时间轴是分析用户喜好的一个重要因素。

这样就比较好明白之前我在Feed阅读遇到的困惑了,随着我注意力边界的移动,以前曾经对我有吸引力的内容现在已经不感兴趣了,所以我需要清理掉这些不感兴趣的内容,然后增加新的内容。这又能很好解释一个现象,大学有段时间很喜欢看《网友世界》,每期必看,一段时间后又喜欢看电脑报,再后来就看Blog了。我曾经基于这个想法产生一个想法:做一个内容随着注意力边界的移动而变化的杂志,比如命名为《生于80》,内容只针对这部分读者的,从小到大都会感兴趣。当然这只是一个想法,从效率角度上是否合理,还需要进一步论证和调研。

豆瓣的图书推荐是大家公认比较到位的,不知道豆瓣会不会考虑时间因素。这里我想说的是RSS阅读器,可以根据读者的阅读信息来跟踪注意力边界的移动。比如Googe
Reader的Reading trends就是这方面的一种尝试,期待着Google早日把Reading trends结合到订阅列表中去。

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我们需要统一的SNS平台吗?

Posted on October 23, 2007, by Glif, under Uncategorized.

看到草莓周刊上引用了一个链接,意思是说期待SNS的统一用户平台,我在想,用户真的需要一个“集大成”的中心平台吗?

按照我在效率和临界点中提到的“需求满溢”的说法,这样的所以SNS同一用户平台显然是不合理的。Yupoo、饭否、豆瓣、抓虾有各自的用户群,但这些服务的重叠用户就是那么一个小圈子。在每个服务都还努力打造社区文化时,统一的用户平台只是飘渺的空中楼阁而已。

在这里我想从另一个角度上去想这个事情,就是产品和功能的角度上(都是自己瞎琢磨,没有什么理论依据)。产品可以有一到多个功能,可以独立运营的服务;而功能则是一个点,和其他功能一起组成产品,一个功能是无法独立运营的。

实际中,受到战略的影响,产品和功能是可以相互转换的。比如说早期的门户网站,都会把Email(邮箱)、书签、相册等服务当作一个功能,而不是一款独立的产品。随着Web2.0的流行,越来越多的以前被当作一个功能看待的服务都上升到产品层面上来了,也派生出来Del.icio.us/Flickr/Twitter这样的新兴但迅速流行的服务。互联网服务的用户转移成本很低,所以关键点就落在服务的质量上。把服务从一个功能升级到产品层面上,可以更大程度上提升服务的质量。

SNS统一用户平台,是逆流而行,把各产品变成统一平台的一个功能。我不否认用户可能需要一个统一平台,但我觉得这个平台不是变得更大,而应该是变得更小。越小就越能降低需求门槛,就越容易形成用户的需求满溢,效率就越高,就越容易流行。

对于OpenID,我的看法是:需求有吗?有!能做成吗?难!

参考文章:

SNS:
统一用户平台何时能到来

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效率和临界点

Posted on October 22, 2007, by Glif, under Uncategorized.

推荐:Feedsky拼搏到底博客挑战赛


另:由于资源占用问题,本博暂时关闭留言和TrackBack功能,敬请谅解。

本来想写一篇文章叫“需求满溢与功能堆砌”,但没时间完成,又新建一个Google文件,命名为“效率和临界点”,发现我想表达的都是一回事,通了。

05年海尔销售额1039亿人民币,而500强最后一名马斯柯销售额只有124.31亿美元,但海尔未能进入世界500强。这让我痴迷于品牌建立的人来说有些打击,转而突然想明白了。以前我感觉比较重要的品牌、管理、创新等等这些,是很重要,但他们都不是一个企业追求的目标,目标是:效率,盈利的效率。海尔05年未能进入世界500强,差的就在这里。

品牌的定义是什么?你可以搜搜,但我觉得都不过瘾。在我看来,简单的说,品牌就是减少用户的选择同类产品成本的一种标识。品牌的力量让用户极大减少选择所需要的时间成本、心理成本,甚至即便质量出现问题,用户也会加以包容。比如iPhone,就完全是依托苹果的品牌基础上的。那话说回来,我们建立品牌的目的是什么呢?对,是效率,品牌减少了用户的观望和猜疑时间,为产品的销售提高效率,从而扩大盈利。但有一点我们需要清楚,品牌最大的价值就是为我们创造利润,而不是昂贵的概念。

那么这“效率”和“需求满溢”有什么关系呢。一般来说,当用户的某项需求达到满溢的时候,效率才会有更好的效果,所以方军说做非必需的东西很难成功。那奢侈品呢,需求满溢吗?我觉得那是虚荣心满溢,哈哈。有一次下班和WebLeOn一起坐城铁回家,他说了一句话让我记忆犹新:要么满足大众的一个小需求,要么满足小众的一个大需求。这句话让我明白了很多以前没想明白的事情,很有道理。一个满足小众的小需求的服务,肯定也有用户,但是无法做到需求满溢,商业化很难;满足大众用户的大需求呢?也许有,但我不认为那是个好主意。

现在还想说说“临界点”,当你发现管理很重要,品牌很重要,创新很重要,执行力很重要的时候,你就会发现这些都很重要。然后你会寻找怎样把这些最优化的组合在一起,以得到最大的效率。在这个最优化的组合中,每项都有一个临界点,这个临界点是需要你自己去掌握,而不仅仅是重视质量、品牌、管理、创新那么简单。问题是,没项都需要重视,但重视到什么程度,如何组织在一起才能得到最大的效率,这是比较难的。

一个互联网服务只能满足用户一种需求,而且更多的时候只是一种弱联系的满足。这就让我感觉,宏观上在大众用户间引爆流行与微观上在单一用户大脑中引爆流行,有着某种好玩的关系,就像太阳系与原子核的模型相似一样。

写到这里发现我的思路玄之又玄,遂停止,各种思想碎片在我大脑里游移,我在这里整理一下,大家表介意,哈哈。

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层次化的产品设计

Posted on October 9, 2007, by Glif, under Uncategorized.

设计的分层已经广泛应用在各种地方,比如程序设计中的封装和接口、硬件中的分层,软件中的层次化设计就更多了,Windows系统中层次化设计随处可见,甚至互联网应用的API也是都是分层的设计。

实际上层次化的设计应该同样适用于产品的设计,但我们却很少看到相关的文章,我也只是把自己的想法拿出来探讨一下。我认为,层次化的对于产品设计非常重要。对于整个产品来说,我们需要考虑满足用户什么样的需求、用户的的使用成本、用户粘性、用户心理分析等多项因素。但实际上,你会发现一个现象:一个好的产品,新用户能非常容易的上手使用它,随着使用熟练程度的增长,用户能不断发现更多好玩的地方,让用户感叹产品设计的如此完美。

这当然是产品设计中精心处理过的。在这其中,针对用户的层次化设计比较重要,这种设计其实就是摒弃传统的功能堆砌的做法,而改为对产品功能的组织和规划。按照我的想法,分层是根据用户来进行的。一款产品首先肯定有目标用户的定位。这个定位首先相对集中,所以分层应该对用户横向进行,也就是说,对同一个用户的不同阶段进行分层,而不是把不同用户进行分层(因为我们只有一个目标用户)。

新用户、初级用户、高级用户、Geek级别的用户,我会对用户这么分层,而不是分为:上班族用户、学生用户或者高端用户、低端用户。分层后,需要在每个层次上对用户的需求、使用成本、用户粘性等要素进行分析,并使之可行。这形成了每个用户层面上的平衡,换句话说,不管是新用户还是Geek级别的用户,都既不会在复杂的功能中迷失,又不会觉得此产品很无趣,他们会不断发现新的惊喜。

大家可以用把Del.icio.us作为例子,看一下他们是不是对用户的分层做的很好。从在网页上post URL到标签云的使用、Links For
You,再到Firefox扩展、Network、Daily Blog Posting等等这些功能的设计都是非常符合对用户进行产品的层次化设计的。

以上纯属个人拙见,欢迎留言拍砖。

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Email还可以有多少创新

Posted on October 9, 2007, by Glif, under Uncategorized.

怕就怕某家公司的一款产品成为这个行业的代名词。比如,人们不说我的MP3怎么怎么样,而说我的iPod怎么怎么样;不说我的手机,而说我的iPhone。这样的例子很多了,Gmail应该也成了Email的代名词了。Keso的一个众所周知的观点就是:Google的产品也有各种不足,但够用就好。(你得明白,这个“够用”的要求其实并不低)

以“人”为中心还是以Email为中心

话说回来,Gmail还是不够好玩,Email还可以有哪些创新呢?其实很多创新只是更符合用户的使用习惯而已。有一点我就非常不解,我用Email更多的是和“人”进行沟通,但为什么目前的Email服务都是以邮件为中心,而不是以“人”为中心呢?其实Gmail在这方面已经做了很多,但我觉得还不够,换句话说,它太隐性了,还有更多的功能没有提供出来。

我认为,在Email服务中,人应该高于Email

当我收到一封Email时,首先我应该一目了然的知道是谁发给我的,我能看到他的头像、职位和更多的联系方式,甚至和我交往的密切程度。甚至在我的Inbox中,可以根据这些条件进行过滤或排序。我的想法是,既然Gmail已经把All
mail当作所有邮件的大箱子,把加星、Spam、Drafts等等都当作标签来处理了,那么它同样可以把一个联系人,或者与联系人交往(或关系)的密切程度都当作标签来处理。前者很明显是以Email为中心的处理方式,而我提到的后者,就是以“人”为中心的处理方式。

当我想给某人发送Email的时候,我应该可以最快速的找到我想要找的联系人

找到的方式有两种,浏览和搜索。

浏览的方式上,就涉及到如何保存联系人信息和浏览联系人信息的问题。这里很多问题没有解决,包括联系人的除重,垃圾联系人的管理,联系人信息管理等诸多问题。比如在Gmail中,你可以为联系人添加照片,详细的信息还是无法添加,比如我想把此人的职位名称或者Blog地址添加进来就无能为力。联系人的重复,以及大量垃圾联系人也让我很困扰。

搜索的方式上,目前还找不到令我满意的服务,包括Gmail。我希望的搜索方式是这样的:我键入相关的任何信息就能实时给出匹配的联系人,包括此联系人的名字、Email地址、电话号码等等,当然,前提是这些信息我保存过。而且是任意匹配的,我发现Gmail和Yahoo
Mail都不是这样,Yahoo
Mail会从名字或Email地址的首字母开始匹配,而Gmail虽然聪明一些,但也是从每个单词的首字母匹配的。我希望从单词中间开始也能匹配,另外汉字和拼音的转化匹配也是必要的。

共享联系人信息

我经常发现,联系人信息的变更是种让人烦恼的事情,共享联系人信息应该是个不错的解决方法,当然这可能需要你的联系人使用与你相同的Email服务。当你修改你的联系人信息后,你的联系信息会在朋友的联系人列表中自动更新,就像现在Gmail中的联系人头像一样,只是我想这可以扩展到所有信息上。我的朋友存到联系人列表中的可能只是我的一个ID,当我的Email地址变更后,会同步到他的联系人列表中。这很Cool,不是吗?

总体来说,我描述的是这样一副景象:在Email服务中,全部在以人为中心的情况展开(传统形式也需保留),你可以迅速找到和认出某人,并轻松看到你们之间的一切来往的Email,和附件中的文件,联系人之间可以共享联系人信息。

我想,在功能上,Email服务已经足够了,下一步就是功能组织上的创新了。另外我猜测,一个更可能的情况是,Gmail会像Facebook一样变成一个开放式的平台,没准Google正在做这样的事情。

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下一代Gmail会是什么样子?

Posted on September 25, 2007, by Glif, under Uncategorized.

看新闻说Google可能在开发新版的Gmail,碰巧前段时间在Ideas
Factory
China
中有朋友讨论起来电子邮件服务的创新,勾起我的兴趣了,很想在这里好好发挥一下。Calon同学其实把创新总结了很多,这里我却想从另一个角度上说起。

初识Gmail的时候,让我非常激动(后来还是很长一段时间才习惯了Gmail的方式,从Yahoo Mail
Beta转过来),现在我回想一下当时到底什么让我激动,这些东西是否真的对我有用呢?

1,Email地址带“点”

就像你知道的一样,Gmail的邮件地址是可以带英文的句点的,而且你可以在“@”前面任意加点。比如“glif.cn[AT]gmail.com”是我的地址,那同时“g.l.i.f.c.n[AT]gmail.com”也是我的地址。

2,Email地址中的“+”过滤器

比如“glif.cn[AT]gmail.com”是我的地址,那么“glif.cn+任意字符[AT]gmail.com”同样是我的地址,这几乎让我的一个邮箱变成任意多个。

3,不断增加的容量

可能现在你登录Gmail的时候,很少关注首页上那个不断闪动的容量上限了。可这在当时,是让人觉得很牛B的一个地方。

4,Gmail的Conversation(会话)功能

当时我使用Gmail+Google Group,发现这帮人竟然使用Email泡论坛,很好奇,就像第一次使用Yahoo
Mail的时候,发现收件箱在英文中叫Inbox一样。

5,Gmail强大的Filter(过滤)功能

你不得不承认,Gmail的Filter确实很好玩,你可以从中挖掘出各种玩法。比如使用GmailFS客户端把图片上传到Gmail中,然后设置Filter自动转发给你的Flickr上传照片的Email地址(当然现在使用Picasa就方便多了)。

如果你是和我经历差不多的用户,那你可能会有和我一样的一种感觉,就是现在如果像某一个新用户介绍Gmail的特点,我实在不想开口,因为我真的不知道它有什么特别的地方。它真的很普通,甚至可能会告诉用户,唉,Gmail可能不适合你,你还是去用163吧。

拥有初学者的心态是件了不起的事情,真不知道新版的Gmail能拿出什么来满足挑剔的用户,因为我觉得,Gmail最初吸引我的很多地方,对我的用处并不如想想那么大。在我看来,Email虽然是一个非常简单的工具,但它可以挖掘的地方非常之多。最近在玩Facebook,觉得确实挺好玩的,其实互联网服务就是好玩。Google
Docs我觉得也是好玩,那么下一代的Gmail能不能好玩呢?很期待。

这个就写到这里吧,下次再写一篇我觉得现在的Email需要解决的问题。

听歌:安又琪–失恋的人不能听

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